So what is a surprise for no-one the budget announcement turn was a classic case of needing ever greater amounts of taxation revenue.
A few weeks ago an intention to break the manifesto pledge on income tax was about explicit as these things come in politics, but they then copped out in favour of whacking lots of narrow tax bases. There may or may not have been kite flying but there is public indecisiveness and with the whole Wes Streeting leadership challenge fiasco the signs are of a government not in control.
As an aside in 1947 just letting slip a few minor details was a resigning matter. That was over the top but still far better than the current clown-show.
With the sleight-of-hand on employer NIC thresholds going the whole way and explicitly breaking the pledge on taxation would have been damaging to the government, but it would not have been the worst aspect. The real damage would have come from the previous budget which in itself was heavy-going having been declared a one-off for the entire parliament with reiteration of the taxation pledges. Last time Reeves ruled out freezing tax bands as it would “hit working families” but that is now exactly what has been done.
As a result the government can no longer present any convincing case that some if not all subsequent budgets will be the same, which is compounded by there being nothing to show in terms of spending control. For the ordinary private citizen the only credible narrative is things getting ever more expansive.
However the biggest disaster is the previously signalled pension fund raid via capping tax breaks on salary sacrifice schemes. This destroys any remaining incentive to put in anything beyond the auto-enrolment statutory minimums. As well as once again hammering businesses. This is criminal given the current problems of people not saving enough if anything for retirement.
Savings in general have also been hit with a 2 percentage-point tax increase which is a further kick in the teeth given how low savings interest is these days, as well as being a further piss-take with the no income tax rise promise. The Cash ISA limit cut almost in half to £12,000 but for some reason only for the under-65s which shows how little the government really cares about the younger generations.
Upping gambling taxes from 21% to 40% is hardly a surprise and it is an obvious raid on an unpopular industry but such a hike will likely lead to closures and lower revenue in the longer-term. All parcels (even small ones) being subject to customs is desperate scraping the bottom of the barrel.
Not a budget for someone who wants to make it in the private sector. Would not be surprised if all this contributes to a recession.